UCL Qualifying Third round Final
Global 2-2
Slovan Liberec vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovan Liberec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
BOH
0 - 1
SLI
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
ACM
1 - 0
SLI
67%
20%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
SLI
2 - 0
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
ZBR
0 - 1
SLI
29%
27%
43%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
SIG
0 - 0
SLI
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
ACM
1 - 0
SLI
67%
20%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
ACM
3 - 0
LEC
71%
18%
12%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
VER
1 - 2
ACM
33%
27%
40%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ACM
0 - 0
ROM
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
JUV
1 - 0
ACM
58%
23%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |