Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 3-0
Slovan Liberec vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovan Liberec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
MBO
4 - 1
SLI
47%
27%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
FCV
0 - 1
SLI
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
SLI
1 - 1
SKK
68%
21%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
SLP
2 - 2
SLI
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SLI
2 - 0
ESK
66%
22%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
YVE
3 - 0
FCV
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
FCV
0 - 1
SLI
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
FCV
2 - 0
BIE
61%
21%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
FCV
2 - 0
FAL
30%
24%
46%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
FAL
1 - 0
FCV
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |