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Croatia Third Division. Sur, Matchday 26

Sloga Mravince vs Zagora Unešić analysis

Sloga Mravince Zagora Unešić
30 ELO 8
4% Tilt 58%
4746º General ELO ranking 10279º
36º Country ELO ranking 127º
ELO win probability
42.4%
Sloga Mravince
23.4%
Draw
34.3%
Zagora Unešić

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
Sloga Mravince
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
34.3%
Win probability
Zagora Unešić
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sloga Mravince
-13%
+25%
Zagora Unešić

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Neretvanac
60
60
100%
NK Jadran LP
57
57
100%
Split
51
51
100%
NK Uskok Klis
49
49
50%
Zagora Unešić
49
49
50%
Hrvace
48
48
100%
Hrvatski Vitez
47
47
100%
Sloga Mravince
45
45
100%
Zmaj Makarska
44
44
100%
Primorac Biograd
10º
43
43
11º
50%
Urania
11º
43
43
10º
50%
GOŠK DBK
12º
42
42
12º
50%
NK Otok
13º
42
42
13º
50%
NK Kamen
14º
37
37
14º
50%
Neretva
15º
37
37
15º
50%
Vodice
16º
35
35
16º
100%
Zmaj Blato
17º
30
30
17º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sloga Mravince
Zagora Unešić
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Zagora Unešić
ZAG
Sloga Mravince
SMR
Primorac Biograd
PRB
Vodice
VOD
Zmaj Blato
ZMA
Hrvatski Vitez
NKH
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sloga Mravince
Sloga Mravince
1%
X%
2%
ELO SMR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 2021
NER
Neretva
0 - 6
Sloga Mravince
SMR
39%
28%
33%
395 163 -232 +2
18 Apr. 2021
SMR
Sloga Mravince
3 - 0
Zmaj Makarska
MAK
53%
25%
22%
393 189 204 +2
14 Apr. 2021
JAD
NK Jadran LP
2 - 0
Sloga Mravince
SMR
41%
28%
32%
395 226 -169 -2
11 Apr. 2021
SMR
Sloga Mravince
2 - 0
NK Kamen
KAM
53%
25%
22%
393 207 186 +2
03 Apr. 2021
SPL
Split
1 - 2
Sloga Mravince
SMR
41%
28%
31%
392 325 -67 +1

Matches

Zagora Unešić
Zagora Unešić
1%
X%
2%
ELO ZAG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 2021
ZAG
Zagora Unešić
0 - 4
Hrvatski Vitez
NKH
41%
28%
31%
139 251 -112 -2
17 Apr. 2021
PRB
Primorac Biograd
2 - 2
Zagora Unešić
ZAG
47%
27%
26%
139 225 86 0
10 Apr. 2021
ZAG
Zagora Unešić
2 - 0
Neretva
NER
45%
27%
28%
137 164 -27 +2
03 Apr. 2021
MAK
Zmaj Makarska
1 - 1
Zagora Unešić
ZAG
47%
27%
26%
137 187 50 0
27 Mar. 2021
ZAG
Zagora Unešić
0 - 0
NK Jadran LP
JAD
45%
27%
29%
137 225 -88 0