Sloboda Tuzla vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
52.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
12º
12º
52
2º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sloboda Tuzla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BBL
3 - 1
SLO
69%
21%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SLO
0 - 0
SLO
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
BAT
2 - 8
SLO
8%
17%
75%
|
62 | 10 | 52 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 0
SLO
71%
20%
10%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SLO
0 - 3
SIR
29%
30%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAR
3 - 1
IGM
74%
18%
8%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
POS
0 - 1
SAR
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
ČEL
1 - 1
SAR
17%
23%
60%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SLO
1 - 0
SAR
18%
25%
57%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 0
BBL
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |