UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Slavia Praha vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slavia Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SLP
4 - 1
NIC
44%
24%
31%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
SLP
2 - 1
WBA
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
SLP
1 - 1
KRA
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
SLP
0 - 0
CEL
46%
23%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
SLP
4 - 0
ZIL
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
ALA
1 - 3
BAT
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
BAT
1 - 1
ALA
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
NEM
1 - 5
BAT
12%
18%
71%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
BAT
1 - 1
ZAL
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
BAT
2 - 0
FKG
57%
23%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |