2nd Division Occidente round 18

VSK Aarhus vs Varde IF Elite analysis

VSK Aarhus Varde IF Elite
46 ELO 39
15.3% Tilt 1.5%
3183º General ELO ranking 22648º
35º Country ELO ranking 216º
ELO win probability
65.3%
VSK Aarhus
19%
Draw
15.7%
Varde IF Elite

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
VSK Aarhus
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.7%
Win probability
Varde IF Elite
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VSK Aarhus
+15%
+40%
Varde IF Elite

ELO progression

VSK Aarhus
Varde IF Elite
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VSK Aarhus
VSK Aarhus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2015
THI
Thisted
1 - 0
VSK Aarhus
SKI
54%
23%
23%
46 48 2 0
28 Mar. 2015
SKI
VSK Aarhus
2 - 5
Kjellerup
KJE
72%
17%
11%
47 37 10 -1
03 Dec. 2014
SKI
VSK Aarhus
1 - 2
Brøndby IF
BIF
12%
20%
69%
48 77 29 -1
15 Nov. 2014
SVE
Svendborg
0 - 1
VSK Aarhus
SKI
49%
24%
28%
47 48 1 +1
08 Nov. 2014
SKI
VSK Aarhus
1 - 5
Odder
ODD
43%
23%
33%
49 51 2 -2

Matches

Varde IF Elite
Varde IF Elite
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2015
VAR
Varde IF Elite
2 - 4
Jammerbugt
JAM
21%
22%
56%
40 53 13 0
28 Mar. 2015
ODD
Odder
0 - 0
Varde IF Elite
VAR
68%
19%
13%
40 51 11 0
01 Dec. 2014
VAR
Varde IF Elite
0 - 3
SonderjyskE
SON
7%
13%
80%
41 74 33 -1
15 Nov. 2014
VAR
Varde IF Elite
0 - 2
Ringkøbing
RIN
38%
24%
38%
42 45 3 -1
09 Nov. 2014
NAE
Næstved
3 - 0
Varde IF Elite
VAR
76%
15%
9%
43 57 14 -1