Skive vs BGA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
BRA
3 - 2
SKI
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
SKI
3 - 2
HOL
55%
20%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
SKI
1 - 1
KAL
66%
18%
16%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
B19
4 - 3
SKI
72%
16%
12%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
SKI
3 - 4
HEL
46%
23%
32%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
BGA
0 - 2
NAE
38%
23%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
VEN
4 - 1
BGA
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
BGA
1 - 2
LYN
33%
24%
44%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
BGA
2 - 3
BRA
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
KAL
1 - 0
BGA
28%
24%
47%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -2 |