KF Shkëndija vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
28.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
4º
3º
66
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 1
SHK
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
3 - 1
MAK
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
0 - 0
SIL
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 1
SHK
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
4 - 1
TIK
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 0
SIL
43%
29%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 3
FCS
46%
28%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 0
TIK
51%
27%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
6 - 2
POB
71%
20%
9%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
FKS
1 - 1
FCS
19%
28%
53%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |