KF Shkëndija vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
27.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
4º
3º
66
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 1
SHK
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
2 - 0
FKS
64%
23%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 1
SIL
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 1
AIK
27%
25%
49%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
AIK
1 - 1
SHK
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
RAB
54%
27%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 1
FCS
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 0
POB
66%
22%
12%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 1
VOK
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
VOK
3 - 1
FCS
19%
22%
60%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |