Division 2 Sweden Norrland - Ascenso Round 6

Skellefteå vs Piteå analysis

Skellefteå Piteå
44 ELO 52
4.9% Tilt 4.1%
6408º General ELO ranking 5017º
83º Country ELO ranking 58º
ELO win probability
28.7%
Skellefteå
23.1%
Draw
48.1%
Piteå

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
Skellefteå
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
48.1%
Win probability
Piteå
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Skellefteå
Their league position
Piteå
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
27
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Piteå
27
34
95.5%
Skellefteå
17
23
75%
IFK Östersund
17
21
65%
IFK Luleå
8
13
36.5%
Gottne
6
13
31%
Kubikenborgs
9
11
46.5%
Umeå FC Akademi
4
4
92%
Expected probabilities
Skellefteå
Piteå
Promotion play-offs
4.5% 95.5%
Mid-table
95.5% 4.5%

ELO progression

Skellefteå
Piteå
IFK Östersund
Umeå FC Akademi
IFK Luleå
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Skellefteå
Skellefteå
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2025
OST
IFK Östersund
2 - 2
Skellefteå
SKE
27%
24%
49%
45 39 6 0
16 Aug. 2025
SKE
Skellefteå
3 - 1
IFK Luleå
IFK
68%
18%
14%
44 35 9 +1
13 Aug. 2025
UAK
Umeå FC Akademi
0 - 4
Skellefteå
SKE
17%
19%
64%
43 28 15 +1
09 Aug. 2025
SKE
Skellefteå
5 - 0
Gottne
GIF
75%
15%
10%
43 30 13 0
02 Aug. 2025
KUB
Kubikenborgs
1 - 5
Skellefteå
SKE
13%
16%
71%
42 21 21 +1

Matches

Piteå
Piteå
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2025
PIT
Piteå
0 - 5
IK Sirius
SIR
11%
16%
73%
51 81 30 0
17 Aug. 2025
PIT
Piteå
3 - 0
IFK Östersund
OST
73%
16%
11%
51 39 12 0
13 Aug. 2025
IFK
IFK Luleå
1 - 5
Piteå
PIT
16%
21%
64%
50 37 13 +1
09 Aug. 2025
PIT
Piteå
3 - 0
Umeå FC Akademi
UAK
84%
11%
5%
50 28 22 0
02 Aug. 2025
GIF
Gottne
0 - 2
Piteå
PIT
11%
18%
71%
49 31 18 +1