1. Division Round 11

Skeid vs Vard analysis

Skeid Vard
58 ELO 51
13.1% Tilt 5.7%
3171º General ELO ranking 5079º
42º Country ELO ranking 70º
ELO win probability
62.1%
Skeid
19.9%
Draw
18%
Vard

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
Skeid
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18%
Win probability
Vard
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Skeid
-27%
-9%
Vard

ELO progression

Skeid
Vard
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Skeid
Skeid
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jun. 2004
RAU
Raufoss IL
2 - 0
Skeid
SKE
60%
21%
19%
59 61 2 0
03 Jun. 2004
HAM
HamKam
4 - 3
Skeid
SKE
66%
19%
14%
59 71 12 0
31 May. 2004
SKE
Skeid
6 - 0
Tromsdalen
TRO
61%
21%
18%
59 51 8 0
23 May. 2004
HOD
Hødd
1 - 3
Skeid
SKE
47%
25%
28%
58 55 3 +1
20 May. 2004
SKE
Skeid
2 - 2
Mandalskameratene
MAN
52%
23%
25%
58 58 0 0

Matches

Vard
Vard
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jun. 2004
VAR
Vard
0 - 2
Haugesund
HAU
35%
24%
41%
51 62 11 0
03 Jun. 2004
MFK
Molde FK
1 - 2
Vard
VAR
82%
12%
6%
50 76 26 +1
31 May. 2004
ELP
Aalesunds FK
4 - 0
Vard
VAR
85%
11%
5%
51 71 20 -1
23 May. 2004
VAR
Vard
4 - 5
Kongsvinger
KON
40%
24%
35%
51 58 7 0
20 May. 2004
HON
Hønefoss
2 - 1
Vard
VAR
68%
19%
13%
52 62 10 -1