Stonava vs Nový Jičín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
73%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+361%
+56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
7º
16º
16º
5
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
6 | 30 |
1º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 29 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 27 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
8 | 25 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 24 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 24 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 24 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 24 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 21 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
5 | 20 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 19 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 16 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 16 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 11 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 10 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
30.5% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
69.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stonava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
VAL
2 - 2
SKS
89%
7%
3%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
SKS
2 - 1
SUM
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | +5 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SKS
1 - 6
VIT
5%
10%
84%
|
9 | 53 | 44 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
FKP
5 - 1
SKS
74%
16%
10%
|
9 | 50 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Nový Jičín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
NOV
1 - 1
FCV
44%
23%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
BOS
2 - 3
NOV
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
NOV
1 - 3
VSE
15%
20%
65%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
JAC
0 - 2
NOV
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
FPR
1 - 4
NOV
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |