Ebbs vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
8º
6º
11
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TEL
2 - 1
EBB
67%
17%
16%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
EBB
2 - 1
VOL
39%
23%
39%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
IAC
3 - 1
EBB
41%
22%
37%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
EBB
3 - 3
WAT
17%
20%
63%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 0
EBB
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
WOR
2 - 4
KIT
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCV
3 - 1
WOR
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
KUN
1 - 0
WOR
20%
20%
59%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
WOR
1 - 4
TEL
26%
21%
53%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VOL
3 - 1
WOR
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |