Sittardia vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sittardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
NAC
2 - 2
SIT
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
SIT
1 - 2
SPA
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1964 |
MVV
2 - 3
SIT
55%
22%
23%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1964 |
SIT
1 - 1
DWS
39%
26%
36%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
SIT
1 - 1
VVV
39%
23%
38%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
VVD
1 - 4
HER
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
HER
4 - 2
NAC
44%
23%
33%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1964 |
SPA
0 - 2
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1964 |
HER
3 - 2
MVV
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1964 |
ADO
2 - 2
HER
59%
20%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |