Sitomir vs OFK Levski analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sitomir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SIT
0 - 3
LOK
12%
19%
69%
|
30 | 62 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PAR
6 - 1
SIT
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SIT
4 - 1
TRY
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LOK
0 - 0
SIT
23%
23%
54%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SIT
1 - 1
DUS
35%
25%
41%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
OFK Levski
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
OFK
2 - 3
PAR
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TRY
0 - 3
OFK
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
OFK
3 - 0
LOK
33%
27%
41%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
DUS
3 - 1
OFK
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
OFK
0 - 2
ASV
12%
19%
69%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |