Siroki Brijeg vs Željeznicar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
10º
8º
37
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 59 |
3º
|
71% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 58 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
86.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
48.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
98% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 3
SIR
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NSO
2 - 2
SIR
16%
20%
64%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SIR
1 - 0
SOL
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
SIR
1 - 1
POS
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ZBE
3 - 0
SIR
19%
26%
56%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
ZEL
1 - 0
RUD
82%
13%
4%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ZEL
0 - 0
ZRI
30%
28%
41%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ZEL
2 - 0
HRV
82%
14%
5%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
GOS
1 - 0
ZEL
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
ZEL
0 - 1
VEL
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |