Siroki Brijeg vs Velež Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
7º
5º
45
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ZEL
1 - 0
SIR
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SIR
2 - 3
BBL
39%
29%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
SIR
0 - 0
IGM
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ZRI
3 - 1
SIR
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SIR
1 - 1
SLO
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
0 - 1
ZRI
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
ZEL
1 - 2
VEL
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 1
VEL
35%
29%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
LEO
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
ZEL
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |