Siroki Brijeg vs Kozara Gradiška analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
SLA
1 - 2
SIR
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SAR
0 - 1
SIR
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SIR
5 - 0
SLA
72%
18%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
SIR
3 - 0
KOZ
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 2
SIR
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Kozara Gradiška
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
KOZ
1 - 0
LEO
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
KOZ
1 - 2
ČEL
33%
28%
38%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
SIR
3 - 0
KOZ
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SAR
4 - 0
KOZ
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
KOZ
6 - 2
SLA
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +2 |