Sirnach vs Freienbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
39%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sirnach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SIR
3 - 1
FRA
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
TOW
2 - 4
SIR
31%
23%
47%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
SIR
3 - 1
FCS
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SIR
4 - 1
SEU
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ALT
3 - 3
SIR
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
FRE
3 - 0
SVS
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
WID
2 - 0
FRE
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
LIN
6 - 2
FRE
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
FRE
6 - 4
MEL
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FCO
2 - 5
FRE
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |