Sirnach vs Frauenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
46.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sirnach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FRE
3 - 0
SIR
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
SIR
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SEE
2 - 2
SIR
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SIR
2 - 2
WIL
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
WID
2 - 0
SIR
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Frauenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
3 - 0
MEL
60%
20%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
RUT
4 - 3
FRA
58%
20%
23%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
3 - 2
LIN
59%
20%
20%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 3
KRE
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 1
FRA
56%
21%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |