IK Sirius vs AFC Eskilstuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 3
SIR
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SIR
7 - 0
ESK
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
OIF
2 - 1
SIR
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SIR
0 - 1
OST
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
ENK
0 - 1
SIR
18%
24%
58%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Eskilstuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 3
VAS
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 0
AFC
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
IFK
2 - 1
AFC
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
AFC
6 - 0
SYR
61%
21%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
ENK
1 - 5
AFC
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |