Siracusa vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SIR
0 - 3
JUS
42%
26%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 3
REG
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
USV
1 - 2
SIR
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SIR
1 - 0
SIC
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
JUS
1 - 0
SIR
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 4
REN
36%
27%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAG
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 2
FCC
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
PAG
2 - 1
FON
55%
24%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
FON
2 - 2
PAG
38%
25%
38%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |