Siracusa vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NOT
2 - 2
SIR
9%
20%
71%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SIR
3 - 2
REG
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
AGR
0 - 1
SIR
18%
24%
57%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SIR
4 - 0
PAL
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SCO
1 - 3
SIR
13%
20%
67%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GEL
0 - 0
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
REN
2 - 0
GEL
50%
24%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
GEL
1 - 0
VIG
48%
25%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAV
3 - 0
GEL
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GEL
1 - 1
LEO
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |