Siracusa vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
SIR
2 - 1
EMP
52%
21%
27%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
CAT
1 - 1
SIR
71%
16%
13%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
BRE
5 - 2
SIR
75%
15%
10%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
SIR
0 - 1
UNI
53%
21%
26%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
SIR
6 - 1
PRO
85%
10%
6%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
SPE
3 - 1
PIS
64%
19%
17%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
SPE
0 - 2
NAP
38%
24%
38%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
REG
1 - 0
SPE
67%
17%
16%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
SPE
0 - 0
MOD
43%
24%
33%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
VIC
3 - 0
SPE
60%
20%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |