Challenge League Round 8

Sion vs Thun analysis

Sion Thun
70 ELO 68
-6.3% Tilt 13.5%
304º General ELO ranking 417º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
41.1%
Sion
26.1%
Draw
32.8%
Thun

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
Sion
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.8%
Win probability
Thun
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sion
-3%
+9%
Thun

Points and table prediction

Sion
Their league position
Thun
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
76
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sion
79
79
100%
Thun
76
76
100%
FC Vaduz
49
49
0%
Neuchâtel Xamax
49
49
0%
FC Wil
44
44
100%
Aarau
43
43
0%
Stade Nyonnais
43
43
0%
AC Bellinzona
42
42
100%
Schaffhausen
38
38
100%
Baden
10º
26
26
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sion
Thun
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sion
Thun
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sion
Sion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2023
SCH
Schaffhausen
1 - 1
Sion
SIO
21%
24%
55%
70 59 11 0
15 Sep. 2023
SIO
Sion
3 - 0
Grasshopper
GCZ
32%
25%
44%
69 73 4 +1
01 Sep. 2023
SIO
Sion
1 - 1
Baden
BAD
67%
21%
13%
69 54 15 0
25 Aug. 2023
STA
Stade Nyonnais
1 - 2
Sion
SIO
30%
25%
46%
69 61 8 0
18 Aug. 2023
ETO
Etoile Carouge
1 - 3
Sion
SIO
21%
21%
59%
68 57 11 +1

Matches

Thun
Thun
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2023
THU
Thun
2 - 0
Aarau
FCA
41%
24%
34%
67 66 1 0
16 Sep. 2023
THU
Thun
1 - 3
Luzern
FCL
24%
23%
53%
68 79 11 -1
02 Sep. 2023
THU
Thun
3 - 1
FC Wil
WIL
43%
25%
32%
67 66 1 +1
25 Aug. 2023
BEL
AC Bellinzona
0 - 3
Thun
THU
15%
21%
64%
67 54 13 0
19 Aug. 2023
FCF
Frutigen
0 - 5
Thun
THU
3%
7%
90%
67 9 58 0