Challenge League Round 12

Sion vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis

Sion Neuchâtel Xamax
71 ELO 57
-7.5% Tilt 14.2%
304º General ELO ranking 1573º
Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
63.6%
Sion
21.7%
Draw
14.7%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
Sion
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.7%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sion
-3%
-3%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Points and table prediction

Sion
Their league position
Neuchâtel Xamax
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
49
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sion
79
79
100%
Thun
76
76
100%
FC Vaduz
49
49
0%
Neuchâtel Xamax
49
49
0%
FC Wil
44
44
100%
Aarau
43
43
0%
Stade Nyonnais
43
43
0%
AC Bellinzona
42
42
100%
Schaffhausen
38
38
100%
Baden
10º
26
26
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sion
Neuchâtel Xamax
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sion
Neuchâtel Xamax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sion
Sion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2023
BAD
Baden
0 - 4
Sion
SIO
17%
22%
61%
71 55 16 0
06 Oct. 2023
SIO
Sion
3 - 0
FC Wil
WIL
51%
25%
24%
71 64 7 0
29 Sep. 2023
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
0 - 3
Sion
SIO
20%
24%
57%
70 58 12 +1
25 Sep. 2023
SIO
Sion
2 - 3
Thun
THU
41%
26%
33%
70 68 2 0
22 Sep. 2023
SCH
Schaffhausen
1 - 1
Sion
SIO
21%
24%
55%
70 59 11 0

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2023
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 1
Stade Nyonnais
STA
35%
26%
39%
57 61 4 0
07 Oct. 2023
THU
Thun
1 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
66%
20%
14%
57 69 12 0
29 Sep. 2023
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
0 - 3
Sion
SIO
20%
24%
57%
58 70 12 -1
26 Sep. 2023
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 2
Baden
BAD
53%
23%
24%
58 54 4 0
22 Sep. 2023
WIL
FC Wil
2 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
53%
24%
23%
59 65 6 -1