Sion vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SIO
2 - 1
THU
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FCL
0 - 0
SIO
42%
25%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SIO
0 - 1
BAS
33%
24%
43%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SIO
1 - 2
STG
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
SIO
5 - 1
KRI
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FCL
0 - 2
LUG
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FCL
0 - 0
SIO
42%
25%
34%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
STG
1 - 1
FCL
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FCL
1 - 1
GCZ
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
FCA
3 - 5
FCL
24%
23%
53%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |