Sint-Truidense VV vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sint-Truidense VV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
0 - 0
STR
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
STR
1 - 2
CHA
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
BRU
2 - 1
STR
74%
16%
9%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
STR
2 - 1
BER
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
KVC
3 - 0
STR
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 1
GEN
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 1
RAA
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
CER
1 - 1
EXC
30%
25%
45%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 1
GNK
38%
23%
39%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
LIE
2 - 2
EXC
37%
25%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |