Simba SC vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
WYD
1 - 0
SIM
70%
19%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 0
SIM
10%
18%
72%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SIM
1 - 1
ASE
50%
23%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
SIM
1 - 1
NAM
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SIM
1 - 5
YOU
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
COA
1 - 0
KAG
35%
31%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
KAG
1 - 1
KMC
36%
31%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
KAG
2 - 1
TAN
37%
32%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
KAG
0 - 0
KFC
73%
19%
9%
|
58 | 14 | 44 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
DJF
1 - 0
KAG
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |