Simat vs Orba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
59.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+110%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ROT
2 - 0
SIM
44%
20%
36%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SIM
1 - 3
CDC
79%
13%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
GAN
5 - 3
SIM
51%
20%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
SIM
2 - 2
BEL
35%
22%
43%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SIM
1 - 3
GAN
44%
22%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Orba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ORB
1 - 0
BEN
51%
21%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
XER
2 - 0
ORB
34%
24%
42%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ORB
1 - 0
VER
42%
23%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BEL
4 - 0
ORB
35%
22%
43%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ORB
1 - 3
VIL
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |