Simat vs El Verger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
61.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GAN
1 - 0
SIM
78%
13%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SIM
1 - 6
DAI
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 1
SIM
64%
18%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SIM
5 - 2
BEN
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SIM
2 - 0
VIL
28%
22%
50%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
El Verger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
VER
4 - 1
MIR
84%
11%
6%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VER
1 - 0
FON
49%
21%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ROT
1 - 1
VER
12%
16%
72%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
VER
2 - 0
TAV
67%
17%
16%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
GAN
1 - 1
VER
62%
19%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |