Sierre vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
51.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ESB
1 - 4
SIE
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SIE
2 - 2
BUM
39%
24%
37%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ROM
5 - 2
SIE
40%
25%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SIE
0 - 1
FCK
15%
22%
63%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
DUR
1 - 1
SIE
40%
24%
35%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
THU
3 - 0
DUR
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
FCK
1 - 1
THU
24%
22%
54%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
THU
2 - 0
POR
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
TPA
2 - 3
THU
37%
23%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
THU
8 - 2
LYS
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |