AFCON Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 2-2
Sierra Leone vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
55.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
SLE
4 - 2
STP
76%
17%
7%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
EQG
2 - 2
SLE
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SLE
2 - 1
CPV
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
IRQ
1 - 0
SLE
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
STP
2 - 1
SLE
12%
19%
69%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
TUN
2 - 2
IRN
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
CPV
1 - 2
TUN
22%
27%
52%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
TUN
3 - 1
EQG
86%
10%
4%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
TUN
5 - 1
RWA
79%
16%
6%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
TUN
1 - 1
PER
41%
28%
31%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |