Sierning vs Traun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
SIE
2 - 1
DON
47%
24%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
BAD
2 - 0
SIE
34%
25%
41%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Traun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
SVT
1 - 2
BAD
17%
22%
61%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
URB
2 - 1
SVT
54%
23%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |