Sierning vs SV Pasching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
65.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
ATS
0 - 0
SIE
22%
24%
54%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
SIE
0 - 1
SVT
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
SIE
2 - 1
DON
47%
24%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
BAD
2 - 0
SIE
34%
25%
41%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
SV Pasching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
SVP
4 - 0
BAD
81%
14%
5%
|
68 | 16 | 52 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
URB
1 - 2
SVP
12%
21%
66%
|
68 | 11 | 57 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
SVP
4 - 0
VOC
85%
12%
4%
|
69 | 32 | 37 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
SVP
1 - 4
RBS
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
GMU
1 - 2
SVP
6%
19%
75%
|
74 | 24 | 50 | -4 |