Sierning vs Marchtrenk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
GMU
3 - 2
SIE
65%
20%
16%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
DON
1 - 1
SIE
61%
22%
18%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 2
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 1
UNI
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
NEU
0 - 1
SIE
67%
19%
13%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Marchtrenk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 1
52%
22%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
MAR
60%
20%
19%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
GRU
39%
23%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BAD
0 - 2
MAR
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
GRI
35%
22%
43%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |