Sierning vs Grieskirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ATS
0 - 0
SIE
34%
25%
41%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SIE
0 - 3
LAS
39%
25%
37%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
VOC
2 - 4
SIE
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SIE
0 - 0
UMA
69%
19%
12%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
0 - 2
SIE
32%
25%
43%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Grieskirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
GRI
2 - 4
DON
59%
21%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
GRU
1 - 1
GRI
33%
25%
42%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
GRI
1 - 0
SVT
65%
20%
16%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
GMU
3 - 2
GRI
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
GRI
4 - 0
VOR
11%
20%
69%
|
17 | 58 | 41 | +2 |