Sierning vs Bad Ischl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
49.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
EFE
2 - 1
SIE
55%
23%
21%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SIE
5 - 1
GMU
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BAD
4 - 1
SIE
54%
23%
23%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SIE
1 - 2
GRU
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SVF
2 - 1
SIE
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
BAD
2 - 1
GUR
24%
22%
53%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BAD
5 - 1
EFE
49%
22%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
GMU
0 - 3
BAD
53%
21%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BAD
3 - 1
BAD
48%
21%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GRU
7 - 2
BAD
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |