Siena vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SIE
1 - 2
INT
15%
24%
61%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
SIE
1 - 0
TOR
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
FIO
1 - 0
SIE
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
SIE
2 - 2
UDI
34%
27%
40%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
REG
0 - 1
SIE
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SAM
3 - 1
MES
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
UDI
1 - 0
SAM
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ROM
4 - 0
SAM
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
SAM
1 - 0
TOR
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 1
SAM
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |