Siena vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PON
0 - 2
SIE
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OLB
0 - 0
SIE
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SIE
1 - 0
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
IMO
0 - 4
SIE
34%
27%
40%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SIE
1 - 0
REG
19%
26%
56%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PON
0 - 2
SIE
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CES
1 - 1
PON
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PON
1 - 1
VIS
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
ASL
1 - 1
PON
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PON
2 - 2
ANC
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |