Siena vs Pisa SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 2
ACM
16%
23%
61%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
NAP
2 - 1
SIE
73%
17%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
SIE
0 - 1
FIO
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CAT
3 - 0
SIE
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ROM
4 - 0
SIE
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
PIS
1 - 0
TER
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
LAT
3 - 1
PIS
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
PIS
0 - 0
LAT
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
PRG
2 - 2
PIS
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
PIS
2 - 1
PRG
55%
26%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |