Siena vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2012 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SIE
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 4
ACM
21%
26%
54%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
SIE
2 - 0
BOL
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GEN
1 - 4
SIE
57%
23%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
INT
2 - 1
SIE
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 1
INT
28%
27%
46%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
1 - 2
PAR
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 2
PAR
61%
21%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 0
CAG
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 0
NOV
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |