Siena vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
SIE
1 - 0
CAG
27%
27%
47%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
SAL
1 - 0
SIE
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
SIE
0 - 1
MOD
28%
29%
44%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
GEN
1 - 1
SIE
69%
20%
12%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
SIE
0 - 0
ANC
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
MES
1 - 3
SAL
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
VIC
2 - 2
MES
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
MES
0 - 0
GEN
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
ANC
1 - 1
MES
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
MES
1 - 0
EMP
31%
28%
42%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |