Siena vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
OLB
0 - 0
SIE
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
MOD
1 - 1
SIE
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
SIE
1 - 2
ASG
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PES
2 - 1
SIE
72%
17%
10%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SIE
0 - 0
VIT
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ASL
2 - 2
ASG
32%
27%
40%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
ASL
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
ASL
1 - 0
REG
17%
25%
57%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 1
ASL
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ASL
0 - 0
FER
54%
26%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |