Siena vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SIE
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 0
BOL
42%
29%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
JUV
3 - 3
SIE
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 1
PAR
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
LIV
1 - 2
SIE
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
GEN
2 - 2
PAL
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FIO
3 - 0
GEN
60%
23%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
GEN
5 - 3
CAG
58%
21%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
INT
0 - 0
GEN
75%
17%
9%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GEN
3 - 4
BOL
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |