Siena vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
PIS
1 - 1
SIE
25%
26%
49%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SIE
2 - 0
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
SIE
2 - 1
TER
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
REG
1 - 0
SIE
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SIE
2 - 2
IMO
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
VIS
41%
28%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GRO
0 - 0
FER
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
ASG
28%
28%
44%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
FER
0 - 0
CAR
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
MOD
2 - 0
FER
76%
17%
8%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |