Siena vs Bastia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.5%
5.8%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SIE
1 - 1
MPO
83%
13%
3%
|
77 | 33 | 44 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PIA
1 - 1
SIE
9%
20%
71%
|
77 | 36 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SIE
0 - 0
USP
84%
13%
3%
|
78 | 29 | 49 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 0
SIE
10%
23%
67%
|
78 | 35 | 43 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SIE
2 - 0
VFC
84%
13%
3%
|
78 | 31 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 3
CAS
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MPO
3 - 0
BAS
66%
20%
13%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 3
FLA
24%
23%
53%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
USP
2 - 1
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 4
FOL
17%
22%
61%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |