Siena vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
MON
1 - 1
SIE
15%
24%
61%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
SIE
1 - 0
ACL
76%
17%
8%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
LIV
0 - 1
SIE
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
SIE
0 - 2
COM
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
VAR
1 - 2
SIE
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
CTT
0 - 0
LEC
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
PIS
1 - 1
CTT
58%
25%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CTT
4 - 2
ASL
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
MOD
1 - 2
CTT
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
CTT
2 - 1
BRE
67%
20%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |