Siena vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
SIE
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SIE
5 - 2
CRO
63%
23%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LIV
0 - 1
SIE
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
SIE
4 - 1
PIS
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 2
ACM
16%
23%
61%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
BRE
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
REG
0 - 0
BAR
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ATL
3 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
ACL
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
GRO
4 - 3
BAR
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |