Siegburger SV 04 vs SC Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
7º
3º
34
5º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
93.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 49 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
95% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
40.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
67.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
H05
0 - 6
SIE
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SIE
3 - 1
USC
68%
17%
15%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SPV
0 - 2
SIE
29%
22%
49%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SIE
3 - 1
SPV
59%
20%
22%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HUR
1 - 0
SIE
26%
23%
50%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SC Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 0
HUR
62%
19%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PES
1 - 2
SCF
49%
22%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 2
KON
55%
20%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SCF
3 - 1
KAP
41%
23%
36%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
VFL
4 - 0
SCF
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |